Thursday, January 16, 2025

CURRENT SITUATION: NOTES ON THE WORLD CRISIS (33. On the Doha “Ceasefire” agreement)


 

The agreement between the Palestinian resistance and the Zionist State of Israel in Doha, represented on the imperialist-Zionist side by the US imperialist diplomats and, on the other side, the Palestinian side through the mediation of Qatar and Egypt, has been celebrated in large numbers in Gaza and the West Bank, by the proletariat and peoples of the region, as well as by the international proletariat and the peoples of the world.

 

In Israel, the relatives of the prisoners, the so-called “hostages,” remain worried as they await the results. Biden and Trump, the outgoing president and the incoming one for the US imperialists, both claim the success of the agreement. The Zionist government is keeping its final decision awaited, with details pending until today at 10 am. Two ministers in his cabinet have said that it is “a bad agreement and dangerous for Israel’s security,” that it is “a catastrophic agreement.”

 

Imperialist representatives from France, China, Germany, etc. have declared their satisfaction with the agreement.

 

Hamas welcomed the agreement and asserted:

 

Today our people and their resistance have imposed an honorable agreement to stop the aggression.

 

That the truce represents a change in the conflict in the Middle East.

 

The ceasefire agreement is the result of the legendary firmness of our great Palestinian people and our courageous resistance in the Gaza Strip for more than 15 months.

 

It is a turning point in the conflict with the enemy, on the path to achieving the goals of our people.

 

At the same time, he added, the different forces of the resistance will remain vigilant to ensure that the agreement is fully complied with.

 

They thanked Egypt and Qatar for the role of mediators for the agreement.

 

The agreement provides for the withdrawal of Israeli troops from the Gaza Strip and an “honorable” exchange of prisoners.

 

The Zionist State of Israel and US imperialism have failed in their war aims

 

Thus, the Zionist State of Israel and US imperialism have failed in their declared war aims, expressed on several occasions through the government of Benjamin Netanyahu: to destroy Hamas, i.e. the Palestinian resistance, and to bring back the Israeli “hostages” (prisoners of war) held by the resistance.

 

Yankee and Zionist imperialists have had to seek an agreement with the Palestinian resistance for long months of insistence on the "Ceasefire Plan" presented by the government of the genocidal Biden in May 2024. That is, for more than 8 months where the Zionists and the imperialists have suffered harsh attacks from internal and international public opinion, the government of the genocidal Netalzahu has seen internal resistance grow and the conflict within its own government increase. The genocidal Zionist armed forces have seen their aggressor soldiers fall daily, what the media calls the permanent trickle of casualties. Members of the Zionist government and the genocidal military of Israel have been judicially persecuted not only by the International Criminal Court, but also by complaints from different organizations when they have been enjoying vacations in different countries.

 

All of the above, discarding the flimsy argument of the so-called “Trump factor”, have added together to the “honorable” agreement as claimed by Hamas.

 

The resistance could not be defeated, the guerrilla could not be separated from the masses, the fighters and masses have given their precious blood by the tens of thousands and have lost all their belongings and homes facing the genocidal and annihilating war of Zionists and imperialists. They have sacrificed everything for the sacred cause of the liberation of Palestine, which is the cause of the national liberation of all the oppressed peoples of the world and of the international proletariat.

 

The national resistance movement of Palestine and the peoples of the region have rejected capitulation and made each of the enemy’s plans fail with the legendary firmness of the great Palestinian people and their brave armed resistance. The behaviour of traitors like Assad in Syria has been very different. He capitulated to the Zionist and imperialist attacks, he crossed his arms in the face of enemy bombings, and so he ended up being abandoned by his own people, by the Iranians and by the Russian imperialists in conclusiveness and struggle with Yankee imperialism.

 

The agreement comes into force next Sunday and is divided into three phases of 42 days each, of which the first phase is related to the release of 33 Israeli prisoners of war in the hands of the resistance, who would be exchanged alive for 30 Palestinian prisoners of war in the hands of the Zionists, and in the case of Israeli soldiers, for 50 Palestinian prisoners. The other two phases of the agreement will be discussed in their implementation during the 16 days of the first phase. A lasting ceasefire will be discussed and the rest of the prisoners will be returned to both sides. A reconstruction plan will be established and the access borders to the Strip will be opened. It is not clear who will govern the Gaza Strip in the future and therefore its regime of government administration.

 

As expected by the Gazans, the government of the Zionist State of Israel was going to use these days before the truce came into effect to increase its attacks on the Gaza Strip and cause more deaths and destruction. Thus, the Zionist government of Netanyahu has given an excuse for not approving the agreement today, saying that Hamas wants to modify the agreement to achieve more concessions, the representatives of the Palestinian resistance have replied that they are committed to the principle of the agreement reached in Doha on Wednesday. But, it is known that the problem is not on the side of the resistance but of the disputes in the cabinet of the Zionist government itself, since the armed struggle of the national resistance of the Palestinian people fuels the contradictions within the Zionists. The genocidal army of Israel has bombed the Strip again this Thursday and has caused more than 46 deaths.

 

The correspondent for the German TV-ARD daily news has pointed out that the factors that led to the agreement are the weakening of Iran, the fall of Assad in Syria, the situation of Hezbollah in Lebanon and the Trump factor. In addition, she added that, regarding this last factor, the plans of the Zionist government of Benjamin Netanyahu are based on the expectation of having carte blanche from the new government of the genocidal Trump to annex the West Bank.

 

Furthermore, we should bear in mind what we said in our Note 32:

 

For a correct assessment of the development of the international situation and in the Greater Middle East (MNE), an analysis of the facts brought to light as detailed as possible is necessary.

 

- Regime change in Syria, overthrown by a “rebel coalition” with direct intervention of NATO forces made up of the Turkish Army, not just as a supporting force.

 

- Broad military campaign of US imperialism and the Zionists of Israel with the support of their lackeys in the region against the Palestinian nation (Gaza and the West Bank), against the armed national liberation movements in the region and against the countries of Lebanon, Yemen, Syria, Iran and partly against Iraq.

 

- Military counter-campaign of the armed resistance of the national liberation movement of the MOA with the axis of Palestine, Lebanon, Syria, Yemen and Iran, which has achieved great victories by defeating the imperialist-Zionist genocidal plan of capitulation and persisting in the armed struggle of national resistance in Palestine and Lebanon. The imperialists and reactionaries will have no peace, the guerrilla war will spread everywhere, To fight is to live! To surrender is to die!

 

- Political and military displacement of Russian imperialism from Syria. Which expresses a change of forces and more collusion between Yankee imperialism and Russian imperialism. See the situation in Syria and Iran in relation to Ukraine. So, greater collusion in the imperialist struggle for the oppressed nations for greater struggle, thus developing the contradiction between the imperialists, the spoils in dispute are the oppressed nations.

 

- Isolation of Iran with respect to Syria, traditional ally, both political and military of Iran.

 

- Breaking the continuity of the logistics and movement line of the “Axis of Resistance”. Which will be reestablished according to guerrilla practices.

 

And, to reiterate what was said in our Notes No. 31:

 

A further assessment of the ceasefire in the war of liberation in this country and its repercussions with respect to the one being fought mainly in Palestine and, also, its effect on Iran, it is not possible, for the moment, to say what its immediate and medium-term effects will be.

 

We only know that the struggle will be long and hard. That the armed struggle of national resistance in the MoA has been rekindled, in this hot zone of the international situation, with the great action of the Palestinian armed national resistance movement on October 7, 2023, which shows that we are in the strategic offensive of the world revolution, within the period of 50 to 100 years in which imperialism and reaction will be swept from the face of the earth by the world revolution, through the world people's war. The development of the armed struggle of the national liberation movement in that region shows the powerful development of the new great wave of the world proletarian revolution and the need, to guarantee its victorious development, to reconstitute/or form a new type of militarized Marxist-Leninist-Maoist Communist Party to initiate and lead new people's wars and to transform all armed struggles of national resistance or of any other type that the peoples wage into a people's war to make the revolution and be prepared for all the circumstances to come.

 

As Chairman Mao established:

 

Thus, as Chairman Mao established, the processes of wars and their dimensions depend on the sharpening of the class struggle. For the imperialists it is a dispute over areas of domination and a new division. The oppressed nations are the spoils in the imperialist dispute. This is how the two contradictions are expressed. The main one, as the war events in this hot zone of the world prove, is the contradiction between the superpowers and imperialist powers, on the one hand, and the oppressed nations on the other. The inter-imperialist contradiction develops in the midst of collusion and struggle for areas of domination and new distribution.

Chairman Gonzalo teaches us: That the inter-imperialist conflict develops in the midst of collusion and struggle and that the same contenders of the two previous world wars are preparing, but this does not mean that it will already occur, although there is always the danger that it will ignite in any of the hot spots of the international situation; but for now neither the Yankee imperialists nor the Russian imperialists are in a position to start a third world war because the strategic balance remains and both face difficult situations.

Chairman Mao, on the danger of world war, teaches us that taking this reality into account we must be prepared but in time, not when war knocks on the door, and here the question is to focus on the main aspect which is the revolution. Understanding that the revolution is the main historical tendency and it is also the main political tendency in the world, because the question is that in politics the revolution is the new and the counterrevolution is the old and the new prevails over the old, therefore the revolution will prevail over the counterrevolution; politically, history unfolds in zigzags, precisely these are part of the process, not its negation. In the face of a counterrevolutionary offensive, men have to act, more so communists, we have to transform this offensive into a revolutionary counteroffensive, it depends on the transformative action of man that the condition of the main political tendency is expressed and we communists have to concretize the people's war, specifying it to the concrete conditions of each revolution. We believe that this is not sufficiently understood by the RIM. Thus, seeing the revolution as a historical tendency, as a political expression and how men reflect situations and act to transform and act as the main historical and political tendency.